Seats in Bradford district will be ‘up for grabs' in general election drama

UNDER PRESSURE:  Liberal Democrat MPs David Ward and Greg Mulholland face a stiff test in next year’s general election

UNDER PRESSURE: Liberal Democrat MPs David Ward and Greg Mulholland face a stiff test in next year’s general election

First published in News
Last updated

The district is poised to be at the heart of general election drama – with nine out of 11 Westminster seats “up for grabs”

That is the conclusion of a new electoral website, which warns gloomily that the number of exciting contests is “shrinking” in most of the country.

But the opposite is true in the Bradford area, where only two seats are declared “foregone conclusions”.

Of the nine “in play”, Labour is the challenger in no fewer than six of the constituencies, with three of those described as must wins.

Top of Ed Miliband’s target list for the district is Bradford East, held by David Ward for the Liberal Democrats with a wafer-thin majority of just 365.

That makes it number 10 of Labour’s targets for the entire country, with 67 the magic number if Mr Miliband is to win a Commons majority.

If that is to happen, two Conservative-held seats – Pudsey (26) and Keighley (48) – must also fall if Labour is to triumph outright, on May 7 next year.

In Pudsey Stuart Andrew will defend a majority of 1,659 and Kris Hopkins, the housing minister, 2,940, in Keighley.

Two other Tory seats are Labour long shots, Calder Valley (6,431) and Shipley (9,944). However, Philip Davies won there by only 422 votes back in 2005.

The Tories will challenge the Lib Dems in Leeds North West (9,103), where sitting MP Greg Mulholland can take nothing for granted.

The wild card is Bradford West, where George Galloway won a 2012 by-election for Respect, with a 10,140 majority in a once safe Labour seat.

According to the website – www.election-data.blogspot.co.uk – the two “foregone conclusions” are Labour-held Bradford South and Tory-held Skipton and Ripon. At first sight Bradford South is a surprising inclusion, given Gerry Sutcliffe’s 4,622 majority.

However, the 2010 election was a debacle for Labour and Mr Sutcliffe was 9,167 votes ahead back in 2005.

Next year, for the first time, the Conservatives, Labour and the Liberal Democrats all have genuine hopes of at least sharing power after the results are counted.

But twin failures to change the electoral map – the defeats of the alternative vote (AV) referendum and of the Conservative attempt to redraw boundaries – will reduce the tension in most areas.

The Lib Dem attempt to replace first-past-the-post with AV – where second votes are redistributed until one candidate has more than 50 per cent – was crushed in 2011.

David Cameron tried to axe 50 seats nationwide and redraw boundaries, but Nick Clegg blocked the move after Tory backbenchers killed his House of Lords reform dream.

Comments (13)

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10:47am Tue 27 May 14

Albion. says...

Hopefully none of the same old parties will be successful.
Hopefully none of the same old parties will be successful. Albion.
  • Score: 8

1:24pm Tue 27 May 14

BertSanders says...

Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society
I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.
Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good. BertSanders
  • Score: 7

1:43pm Tue 27 May 14

allinittogether says...

BertSanders wrote:
Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society
I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.
How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?
[quote][p][bold]BertSanders[/bold] wrote: Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.[/p][/quote]How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault? allinittogether
  • Score: -1

2:11pm Tue 27 May 14

BertSanders says...

allinittogether wrote:
BertSanders wrote:
Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society
I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.
How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?
That may well have been part or the start of the problem but Labour were responsible for the escalating debt in the UK and Gordon Brown with Ed Ball the chief architects.
[quote][p][bold]allinittogether[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]BertSanders[/bold] wrote: Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.[/p][/quote]How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?[/p][/quote]That may well have been part or the start of the problem but Labour were responsible for the escalating debt in the UK and Gordon Brown with Ed Ball the chief architects. BertSanders
  • Score: 6

3:00pm Tue 27 May 14

Grumpygirl says...

BertSanders wrote:
allinittogether wrote:
BertSanders wrote:
Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society
I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.
How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?
That may well have been part or the start of the problem but Labour were responsible for the escalating debt in the UK and Gordon Brown with Ed Ball the chief architects.
You read the Daily Mail too much. Labour spent money to bail out the banks and to prevent the economy from crashing into a deep recession, as did more or less every other western government. At the time of the last election there was a modest recovery under way and Labour had a deficit reduction plan which would have cut the debt back over the following five years.

What the Tories did was to introduce idiot austerity which had everything to do with their twisted ideology and nothing to do with sensible economics. As a result revenue plunged. Tory debt is now higher than when they came to power and ordinary people are suffering depressed incomes. The only beneficiaries of Tory rule are the rich,-- the Tories best mates and donors.
[quote][p][bold]BertSanders[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]allinittogether[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]BertSanders[/bold] wrote: Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.[/p][/quote]How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?[/p][/quote]That may well have been part or the start of the problem but Labour were responsible for the escalating debt in the UK and Gordon Brown with Ed Ball the chief architects.[/p][/quote]You read the Daily Mail too much. Labour spent money to bail out the banks and to prevent the economy from crashing into a deep recession, as did more or less every other western government. At the time of the last election there was a modest recovery under way and Labour had a deficit reduction plan which would have cut the debt back over the following five years. What the Tories did was to introduce idiot austerity which had everything to do with their twisted ideology and nothing to do with sensible economics. As a result revenue plunged. Tory debt is now higher than when they came to power and ordinary people are suffering depressed incomes. The only beneficiaries of Tory rule are the rich,-- the Tories best mates and donors. Grumpygirl
  • Score: -4

3:25pm Tue 27 May 14

BD16 says...

allinittogether wrote:
BertSanders wrote:
Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society
I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.
How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?
http://www.economist
.com/blogs/blighty/2
011/01/labours_blame
_game

Try reading this. We spent more than we earned in the years leading up to the recession so we had large debts when we should have had a deficit after one of the worlds longest periods of economic growth.
[quote][p][bold]allinittogether[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]BertSanders[/bold] wrote: Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.[/p][/quote]How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?[/p][/quote]http://www.economist .com/blogs/blighty/2 011/01/labours_blame _game Try reading this. We spent more than we earned in the years leading up to the recession so we had large debts when we should have had a deficit after one of the worlds longest periods of economic growth. BD16
  • Score: 3

4:34pm Tue 27 May 14

Thee Voice of Reason says...

Gerry Sutcliffe simply must go next election.

His time at the Bulls and helping aquire a council loan that has been defaulted on and £250k of money to HMRC being written off needs seriously looking into.
Gerry Sutcliffe simply must go next election. His time at the Bulls and helping aquire a council loan that has been defaulted on and £250k of money to HMRC being written off needs seriously looking into. Thee Voice of Reason
  • Score: 6

5:05pm Tue 27 May 14

BertSanders says...

Labour saved the Banks I read - only the bigs ones - Bradford and Bingley became part of Santander and appears to have come through the recent years well. Labour were in control when the Banks were in crisis.
Mortgages were without deposit and encouraged - soon interest rates may rise and that may create problems. IN MY OPINION Labour encouraged borrowing and there is no doubt a boom followed and that is the root of current problems that we are now paying for. If Labour had not recorded their worst ever defeat in 2010 they too would have had to operate in much the same way as the Coalition. I do read the Daily Mail occasionally.. probably because the quick crossword is quite easy.
Labour saved the Banks I read - only the bigs ones - Bradford and Bingley became part of Santander and appears to have come through the recent years well. Labour were in control when the Banks were in crisis. Mortgages were without deposit and encouraged - soon interest rates may rise and that may create problems. IN MY OPINION Labour encouraged borrowing and there is no doubt a boom followed and that is the root of current problems that we are now paying for. If Labour had not recorded their worst ever defeat in 2010 they too would have had to operate in much the same way as the Coalition. I do read the Daily Mail occasionally.. probably because the quick crossword is quite easy. BertSanders
  • Score: 6

5:51pm Tue 27 May 14

BD16 says...

BD16 wrote:
allinittogether wrote:
BertSanders wrote:
Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society
I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.
How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?
http://www.economist

.com/blogs/blighty/2

011/01/labours_blame

_game

Try reading this. We spent more than we earned in the years leading up to the recession so we had large debts when we should have had a deficit after one of the worlds longest periods of economic growth.
That should have read "we should have had a surplus"

That's what happens when you are busy and rush something.....
[quote][p][bold]BD16[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]allinittogether[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]BertSanders[/bold] wrote: Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.[/p][/quote]How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?[/p][/quote]http://www.economist .com/blogs/blighty/2 011/01/labours_blame _game Try reading this. We spent more than we earned in the years leading up to the recession so we had large debts when we should have had a deficit after one of the worlds longest periods of economic growth.[/p][/quote]That should have read "we should have had a surplus" That's what happens when you are busy and rush something..... BD16
  • Score: 4

7:07pm Tue 27 May 14

999 number of the beast says...

Tory/Labour supporters are like Punch and Judy! These two have run the countries since after WWII and its time some new fools in suit were given a go. Vote UKIP and have a laugh!
Tory/Labour supporters are like Punch and Judy! These two have run the countries since after WWII and its time some new fools in suit were given a go. Vote UKIP and have a laugh! 999 number of the beast
  • Score: 4

8:12pm Tue 27 May 14

allinittogether says...

BD16 wrote:
BD16 wrote:
allinittogether wrote:
BertSanders wrote:
Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society
I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.
How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?
http://www.economist


.com/blogs/blighty/2


011/01/labours_blame


_game

Try reading this. We spent more than we earned in the years leading up to the recession so we had large debts when we should have had a deficit after one of the worlds longest periods of economic growth.
That should have read "we should have had a surplus"

That's what happens when you are busy and rush something.....
Interesting piece and I wouldn't necessarily disagree with all of it but it came over more of an opinion piece (it was a blog) than an analytical Economist article.
Though it's nonsense that the Tories always have to put right profligate Labour spending I remember a recession of the early nineties brought about by propping up the ERM so they're all culpable in the mishandling of the economy department.
[quote][p][bold]BD16[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]BD16[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]allinittogether[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]BertSanders[/bold] wrote: Harriet Harman and Ken Clarle have both commented on the Ukip success and left me with the opinion that they know exactly what they are doing and we will return to normal voting at the next election. Blair has added his cynicism to UKIP.. Labour caused the recesssion the Tories are getting us out of it but the pain is really being felt by the poorest of society I have a feeling we are likely to see further success for Ukip - the history of the main patries is not good.[/p][/quote]How are the sales of subprime mortgages in America causing worldwide recession Labour's fault?[/p][/quote]http://www.economist .com/blogs/blighty/2 011/01/labours_blame _game Try reading this. We spent more than we earned in the years leading up to the recession so we had large debts when we should have had a deficit after one of the worlds longest periods of economic growth.[/p][/quote]That should have read "we should have had a surplus" That's what happens when you are busy and rush something.....[/p][/quote]Interesting piece and I wouldn't necessarily disagree with all of it but it came over more of an opinion piece (it was a blog) than an analytical Economist article. Though it's nonsense that the Tories always have to put right profligate Labour spending I remember a recession of the early nineties brought about by propping up the ERM so they're all culpable in the mishandling of the economy department. allinittogether
  • Score: 1

8:50pm Tue 27 May 14

lazybeat says...

999 number of the beast wrote:
Tory/Labour supporters are like Punch and Judy! These two have run the countries since after WWII and its time some new fools in suit were given a go. Vote UKIP and have a laugh!
yes and watch the countries economy fall on its backside just like France and Holland. Yes UKIP can talk the talk but can they actually financially run a country. NO. I have worked with 4 of the footsie 100 companies and the senior management have all drawn plans for a quick British exit when the countries economy hits the fan.
[quote][p][bold]999 number of the beast[/bold] wrote: Tory/Labour supporters are like Punch and Judy! These two have run the countries since after WWII and its time some new fools in suit were given a go. Vote UKIP and have a laugh![/p][/quote]yes and watch the countries economy fall on its backside just like France and Holland. Yes UKIP can talk the talk but can they actually financially run a country. NO. I have worked with 4 of the footsie 100 companies and the senior management have all drawn plans for a quick British exit when the countries economy hits the fan. lazybeat
  • Score: -1

12:27pm Wed 28 May 14

999 number of the beast says...

lazybeat wrote:
999 number of the beast wrote:
Tory/Labour supporters are like Punch and Judy! These two have run the countries since after WWII and its time some new fools in suit were given a go. Vote UKIP and have a laugh!
yes and watch the countries economy fall on its backside just like France and Holland. Yes UKIP can talk the talk but can they actually financially run a country. NO. I have worked with 4 of the footsie 100 companies and the senior management have all drawn plans for a quick British exit when the countries economy hits the fan.
Calm down my dear! Bradford is a Labour stronghold and UKIP will be lucky to get 5-10 seats. However there very presence is a wake up call for the 'fools in suits'.
Also does the voter on a run down housing estate really know about footsie 100 companies. No but they are aware of strange tongues they hear on a daily basis!
[quote][p][bold]lazybeat[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]999 number of the beast[/bold] wrote: Tory/Labour supporters are like Punch and Judy! These two have run the countries since after WWII and its time some new fools in suit were given a go. Vote UKIP and have a laugh![/p][/quote]yes and watch the countries economy fall on its backside just like France and Holland. Yes UKIP can talk the talk but can they actually financially run a country. NO. I have worked with 4 of the footsie 100 companies and the senior management have all drawn plans for a quick British exit when the countries economy hits the fan.[/p][/quote]Calm down my dear! Bradford is a Labour stronghold and UKIP will be lucky to get 5-10 seats. However there very presence is a wake up call for the 'fools in suits'. Also does the voter on a run down housing estate really know about footsie 100 companies. No but they are aware of strange tongues they hear on a daily basis! 999 number of the beast
  • Score: 0

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